Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.955054 5.716266 6.554160 7.544762 8.683921 9.952969 11.474252
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.049944 5.080928 6.311963 7.889812 9.858769 12.235519 15.324362
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.242957 4.379524 5.837023 7.842308 10.530291 14.010919 18.865450
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.858253 4.123749 5.853792 8.390122 12.014871 17.012487 24.437152
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.500348 3.830727 5.758250 8.751818 13.285938 19.903028 30.312336
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.143134 3.469468 5.496216 8.814693 14.115511 22.264395 35.771743
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.756328 2.992249 4.976276 8.387696 14.111794 23.344529 39.406335
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.597752 2.853509 4.963192 8.758157 15.421249 26.654830 47.086962
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.505472 2.809579 5.095369 9.383772 17.238014 31.036420 57.194732
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.366455 2.658308 5.015075 9.615739 18.384310 34.398616 65.966049
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.232530 2.494000 4.884195 9.728819 19.316896 37.482181 74.635176
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.074627 2.257771 4.582117 9.465362 19.483553 39.139191 80.779092
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.921700 2.012305 4.235480 9.080489 19.391630 40.356641 86.392084
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.842121 1.907808 4.158760 9.240265 20.442821 44.014186 97.586561
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.741024 1.740317 3.925301 9.029997 20.676292 46.011128 105.551734
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.709733 1.725077 4.019587 9.558358 22.614734 51.932161 123.064232
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.667434 1.677252 4.033440 9.904382 24.189130 57.265522 140.034643
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.609105 1.581201 3.921132 9.934438 25.023594 61.022393 153.850854
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.526960 1.412260 3.609371 9.429286 24.481151 61.457774 159.654578
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.502979 1.389500 3.654509 9.829626 26.265473 67.780749 181.155408
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.494438 1.406487 3.802974 10.520676 28.902803 76.595693 210.396827
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.465716 1.363481 3.788343 10.773816 30.415854 82.736770 233.455284
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.434056 1.307055 3.729362 10.896172 31.590557 88.148853 255.332824